From: Joseph Ball <josephball2010@yahoo.com>
Date: Tue, Oct 18, 2011 at 6:43 AM
Subject: [** MAOIST_REVOLUTION **] Do Revolutionaries uphold the October Model or Seek to Build Base Areas?
To: MAOIST_REVOLUTION@yahoogroups.com
Do Revolutionaries Uphold the October Model or Seek to Build Base Areas?
 
 The recent 'Occupy Wall Street' movement raises the question of which model
 for revolution is most likely to be adopted in the coming years.
 
 One model is the October Model in which an insurrection leads to the conquest of
 state power, followed by civil war against the reactionaries.
 The other model is the model of building revolutionary base areas in
 certain parts of a country and then developing revolutionary struggle by
 expanding these areas, until the final goal of state power is reached.
 
 Charu Mazumdar explained this latter model in
 'Carry Forward the Peasant Struggle by Fighting Revisionism' when he wrote:
 
 ' …destruction of State power is today the first and principal task of
 peasant movement. If this cannot be done on a country-wide, State-wide basis,
 will the peasants wait silently? No, Marxism-Leninism-Mao Tsetung Thought has
 taught us that if in any area the peasants can be roused politically, then we
 must go ahead with the task of destroying State power in that area. This is what
 is known as peasants' liberated area.'
 
 Typically, Maoists have tended to argue that an'October Model' is
 appropriate in imperialist countries. Maoists have hoped that something like
 the 1968 movement or even protests like the 'Occupy Wall Street Movement'
 could at some point spark off a major insurrection leading to the capture of
 state power in a relatively short space have time.
 The 'Base Area' model is seen as more appropriate for mainly rural
 societies where the urban proletariat is not so numerous.
 
 However, 35 years of defeats have tended to undermine faith in both models. In
 the imperialist countries Maoists have grown disillusioned with the idea of
 waiting for some revolutionary crisis to occur in order to launch an 'October
 style' revolution. Related to this, in some
 cases, is the influence of 'Third Worldism'. The old revolutionary slogan
 was 'They've got the guns but we've got the numbers.' The problem for
 revolutionaries in the First World is that 'they' tend to have the guns and
 the numbers. There are often a minority of poor and unemployed in First World
 countries but most people are affluent. The standard of living of the people is
 subsidised by cheap imports from exploited labour in the Third World. 
 Immigration controls (generally popular with
 First World workers) prevent Third World workers getting better paid employment
 in the West and divide the world's working class.
 
 In the Third World mainly rural revolutionary struggles are being fought in the
 Philippines and India. However, these struggles have gone on for
 many decades. The failure to take state power has been used by some to justify
 'new' varieties of Maoism. Some of the supporters of the Bhattarai's
 revisionist line used the length of the struggles in the Philippines and India
 to justify the abandoning of revolutionary base areas in Nepal by the Maoists
 and the entry into bourgeois politics.
 
 Others have argued for some new stage beyond Maoism, 'a New
 Synthesis'. They argue that communism is 'degenerating into a residue of the
 past' and only by the 'appreciation' of Bob Avakian and his works can
 salvation be found. Bob Avakian's works such as 'Democracy Can't we do
 Better That?' and its sequel are important contributions to revolutionary
 thinking. The debate between the Revolutionary Communist Party (USA) and the
 Unified Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) is of utmost importance. But when we
 study the 'New Synthesis' and try to ascertain what it is here that is meant
 to 'save' the communist movement we can only scratch our heads in
 puzzlement. The 'New Synthesis' seems to be an attempt to come up with a
 hybrid of John Stewart Mill's thinking and Maoism!
 
 Unsurprisingly, not many have been tempted by this eclectic brew despite
 passionate advocacy by Avakian's followers.
 
 It might be that 35 years of defeat will just continue their demoralising
 influence and communism will indeed find itself 'degenerating into a residue of
 the past'.
 
 However, another scenario is possible which those with an interest in
 revolutionary movements might wish to study.
 
 This scenario is suggested by the fact that world imperialism is very strong in
 the present era and the revolutionary seizure of
 power at the national level seems difficult. The revolutions in Russia and
 China were facilitated by world wars between the imperialists. Since then the
 imperialists have learnt to be united. Seizing and, indeed, keeping power in
 one country is all the more difficult as the supporters of Bhattarai never
 ceased to remind people.
 
 Yet, there may be some who see the sustainment of some degree of red power in
 areas of India and the Philippines for so long as a source of strength not
 weakness. It is interesting to note an undercurrent of interest in Maoism
 among radical youth around the world, including in the imperialist
 countries-despite the failure of revolution in Nepal.
 
 What is going through the minds of these youth? It might be they feel that the
 revolution may not necessarily come in 'one country after another' just at
 the moment. Perhaps it will come in one 'region after another'. Perhaps
 they agree with Mazumder who said, that if revolutionaries cannot take state
 power immediately, then they should establish red power in one area. Mao said
 that a socialist nation should be a 'base area for world revolution'. It is
 not as if there is some absolute divide between region and nation here. Seizing
 state power in Nepal in 2006 would have been no guarantee of keeping it in 2007.
 If they had followed Mao's teaching, the Nepalese Maoists would have tried to
 push the revolution into neighbouring countries. Indian and imperialist forces
 could well have responded by invading and forced the Maoists back into the
 countryside. Until socialism is dominant internationally, holding state power in
 any country is no
 guarantee that socialism will survive in this country. Radicals sense this and
 this may explain their continuing sympathy for the movements in India and the
 Philippines despite the despondency of some about their 'failure'.
 
 It might be that in the current phase revolution will spread around the world by
 the creation of red regions. This could weaken the power of the imperialists and
 prepare the way for the next phase-the seizure of state power in nation states.
 
 How would this model be relevant to the imperialist countries? The problem in
 the imperialist nations is the large number of labour aristocrats who often have
 incomes above the world average income.
 They do well out of imperialism and have little appetite for change, despite the
 ultimately alienated nature of their existence. However, among the young and the
 poor in the imperialist nations there is a spirit of revolt.
 
 Third Worldists, such as the Leading Light Communist Organisation, tend to
 discount this, arguing that even the poor in the First World countries are
 'labour aristocrats'. This might be overstating the case. In countries
 like Greece and Spain there is precious little in the way of welfare provision
 and the unemployed can end up destitute. This is not true in all countries. For
 example, the poor of the United Kingdom benefit from the welfare state. They
 have much higher incomes than the poor of Bangladesh, for example. But the
 higher prices in the UK can make life very hard for the poor-high rents, heating
 bills and food bills are an increasing burden on their budgets. There is also
 the negative effect of living in a society where most people are affluent. When
 most have cars
 then car use becomes a necessity in many areas, as facilities are planned with
 only the car user in mind and public transport becomes less and less
 available. When most people have internet access it starts to become essential
 for accessing many services. There is also the question of social norms. It is
 true that the single young person can 'drop out of society' and live on next
 to nothing if they want but this is not feasible when you have to bring up
 children who must be housed and clothed in the normal 'acceptable' style of
 society.
 
 Some in the First World might be tempted by the prospect of revolution by a
 typical left program of guarantees of cheap social housing, cheap public
 transport, free healthcare, free education and full employment, as well as
 giving them the leading political role in society and power and control over
 their own lives.
 
 However, in the current period, rising unemployment and increasing resistance
 from the labour aristocrats to welfare provision for the underprivileged are
 likely to create an increase in anger and desperation among the imperialist
 nation poor. Absolute lack of sympathy for their plight in mainstream society
 is likely to lead to an increasing sense of oppression. Might we see base areas
 in East London or Manchester as a result?
 
 This might seem fanciful in an urban area but for a long period of time
 some nationalist areas of the Six Counties of Ireland were under the effective
 control of Irish Republicans, at least partially. One example of this was the
 fact that security forces were only able to operate in these areas with extreme
 difficulty due to popular opposition to the police and a desire for a different
 policing model.
 
 But could such a situation happen outside of the unusual circumstances of the
 Six Counties?
 
 It might be argued that these areas would just be isolated from wider society
 and would get crushed. But who can foretell so easily the course of a protracted
 struggle?
 
 The position of the labour aristocracy is under threat from the impact of
 globalisation and the current economic crisis afflicting the world. The West
 continues with its pattern of declaring imperialist war after imperialist
 war-even rattling its sabre at China on occasion. It's arrogance may yet lead
 to its defeat. Such outcomes could radically change the balance of forces in
 western societies. It might even be that revolutionaries learn to coordinate
 their efforts with those in other countries rather than dogmatically insisting
 that 'making revolution in your own country' is the beginning and end of all
 strategic thinking.
 
 None of this is to advocate the line of any particular party or to advocate any
 particular approach. However, I feel these comments may be of
 interest to those who are studying the current revolutionary events around the
 world and wish to gain some sense of where things may be heading. One thing is
 for certain-the imperialist governments attack the young and the poor at their
 peril. These governments may be surprised at the form which resistance will
 take.
 
 
Pl Read:
http://nandigramunited-banga.blogspot.com/
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